Posts Tagged ‘investment’

Why Prophets and Profits Don’t Mix

It’s that time again. With the end of the year looming and a new one about to begin, the crystal balls are getting a workout as media and market prognosticators publish their considered forecasts for 2009.

These “year-enders” are usually cooked up by editors ahead of time to fill gaps in the news schedule over the holiday season. Usually what happens is that a harried journalist, up against deadline, calls all the “usual suspects” to coax a quote out of them about next year’s outlook. (more…)

Is the current economic crisis the new “Great Depression”?

Every day it seems someone is seeking to compare the current financial crisis with the Great Depression of the 1930s. There’s no doubt these comparisons are an attention grabber. But how do today’s events really match up?

A search of a newspaper database reveals 30,000 mentions so far this year of the term ‘Great Depression’. References to dust bowls, long and winding dole queues and overflowing soup kitchens are getting a real workout.

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Obama: a platform of change to stimulate the economy?

This article was sent to SFS investment clients on 6 November 2008.

In his first television interview since his historic election victory, Democrat President-elect Barack Obama said  stimulating the economy was a top priority – even if it meant adding to the nation’s growing deficit. 

“I think what’s interesting about the time that we’re in right now is that you actually have a consensus among conservative Republican-leaning economists and liberal left-leaning economists. And the consensus is this: that we have to do whatever it takes to get this economy moving again, that we’re gonna have to spend money now to stimulate the economy,” Obama said. (more…)

The barbecue stopper

By Jim Parker, Regional Director, DFA Australia Limited*

Before we know it, the Australian summer barbecue season will be here – a time when many of us spend our weekends standing around a burner in someone’s backyard discussing the state of the world. When it’s male-dominated, the chit-chat over smoking steaks usually starts with the weather, before progressing to sport, television and New Year’s resolutions. Sooner or later, the question of investment crops up.

These barbecue conversations about money can be a little exasperating, particularly if you’re a long-term buy-and-hold investor with a diversified portfolio structured around the known sources of risk and return. So picture a group of people standing around a barbecue on a summer evening. The small talk exhausted, one guest who’s had a particularly good year in the markets, changes the subject to investment… “My broker told me to put a bundle on BHP and Rio this year,” he says, in between swigs on a can of expensive imported beer. “Best thing I ever did.” (more…)

Is it different this time?

As stock prices have slumped around the world over the past year, investors have been confronted with a barrage of grim news—falling home prices, rising costs for food and fuel, and worries over the fragile health of the banking system. Some have concluded that the current state of affairs bears little resemblance to the past and are questioning the wisdom of maintaining consistent exposure to equities at all.

We don’t know what the future for this business cycle looks like, but we do know that on many occasions in the past, investors were confronted with “unprecedented” events that tested their willingness to maintain a diversified approach. A few examples:

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